Search for: All records

We propose a general framework of using a multi-level log-Gaussian Cox process to model repeatedly observed point processes with complex structures; such type of data have become increasingly available in various areas including medical research, social sciences, economics, and finance due to technological advances. A novel nonparametric approach is developed to efficiently and consistently estimate the covariance functions of the latent Gaussian processes at all levels. To predict the functional principal component scores, we propose a consistent estimation procedure by maximizing the conditional likelihood of super-positions of point processes. We further extend our procedure to the bivariate point process case in which potential correlations between the processes can be assessed. Asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are investigated, and the effectiveness of our procedures is illustrated through a simulation study and an application to a stock trading dataset. 

Double- and single-differential cross sections for inclusive charged-current ${\nu }_{\mu }$-nucleus scattering are reported for the kinematic domain 0 to $2\mathrm{GeV}/c$in three-momentum transfer and 0 to 2 GeV in available energy, at a mean ${\nu }_{\mu }$energy of 1.86 GeV. The measurements are based on an estimated 995,760 ${\nu }_{\mu }$charged-current (CC) interactions in the scintillator medium of the NOvA Near Detector. The subdomain populated by 2-particle-2-hole (2p2h) reactions is identified by the cross section excess relative to predictions for ${\nu }_{\mu }$-nucleus scattering that are constrained by a data control sample. Models for 2-particle-2-hole processes are rated by ${\chi }^2$comparisons of the predicted-versus-measured ${\nu }_{\mu }$CC inclusive cross section over the full phase space and in the restricted subdomain. Shortfalls are observed in neutrino generator predictions obtained using the theory-based València and SuSAv2 2p2h models. Published by the American Physical Society2025 

We report a search for neutrino oscillations to sterile neutrinos under a model with three active and one sterile neutrinos ( $3+1$model). This analysis uses the NOvA detectors exposed to the NuMI beam, running in neutrino mode. The data exposure, $13.6\times {10}^{20}$protons on target, doubles that previously analyzed by NOvA, and the analysis is the first to use ${\nu }_{\mu }$charged-current interactions in conjunction with neutral-current interactions. Neutrino samples in the near and far detectors are fitted simultaneously, enabling the search to be carried out over a $\mathrm{\Delta }{m}_{41}^2$range extending 2 (3) orders of magnitude above (below) $1{\mathrm{eV}}^2$. NOvA finds no evidence for active-to-sterile neutrino oscillations under the $3+1$model at 90% confidence level. New limits are reported in multiple regions of parameter space, excluding some regions currently allowed by IceCube at 90% confidence level. We additionally set the most stringent limits for anomalous ${\nu }_{\tau }$appearance for $\mathrm{\Delta }{m}_{41}^2\le 3{\mathrm{eV}}^2$. Published by the American Physical Society2025 

Abstract Measuring observables to constrain models using maximum-likelihood estimation is fundamental to many physics experiments. Wilks' theorem provides a simple way to construct confidence intervals on model parameters, but it only applies under certain conditions. These conditions, such as nested hypotheses and unbounded parameters, are often violated in neutrino oscillation measurements and other experimental scenarios. Monte Carlo methods can address these issues, albeit at increased computational cost. In the presence of nuisance parameters, however, the best way to implement a Monte Carlo method is ambiguous. This paper documents the method selected by the NOvA experiment, the profile construction. It presents the toy studies that informed the choice of method, details of its implementation, and tests performed to validate it. It also includes some practical considerations which may be of use to others choosing to use the profile construction. 

This Letter reports a search for charge-parity ( $CP$) symmetry violating nonstandard interactions (NSI) of neutrinos with matter using the NOvA Experiment, and examines their effects on the determination of the standard oscillation parameters. Data from ${\nu }_{\mu }\left({\overline{\nu }}_{\mu }\right)\to {\nu }_{\mu }\left({\overline{\nu }}_{\mu }\right)$and ${\nu }_{\mu }\left({\overline{\nu }}_{\mu }\right)\to {\nu }_e\left({\overline{\nu }}_e\right)$oscillation channels are used to measure the effect of the NSI parameters ${ϵ}_{e\mu }$and ${ϵ}_{e\tau }$. With 90% CL the magnitudes of the NSI couplings are constrained to be $\left|{ϵ}_{e\mu }\right|\lesssim 0.3$and $\left|{ϵ}_{e\tau }\right|\lesssim 0.4$. A degeneracy at $\left|{ϵ}_{e\tau }\right|\approx 1.8$is reported, and we observe that the presence of NSI limits sensitivity to the standard $CP$phase ${\delta }_{CP}$. Published by the American Physical Society2024 

A search for proton decay into $e^{+}/{\mu }^{+}$and a $\eta$meson has been performed using data from a $0.373\mathrm{Mton}·\mathrm{year}$exposure (6050.3 live days) of Super-Kamiokande. Compared to previous searches this work introduces an improved model of the intranuclear $\eta$interaction cross section, resulting in a factor of 2 reduction in uncertainties from this source and $\sim 10\%$increase in signal efficiency. No significant data excess was found above the expected number of atmospheric neutrino background events resulting in no indication of proton decay into either mode. Lower limits on the proton partial lifetime of $1.4\times {10}^{34}\mathrm{years}$for $p\to e^{+}\eta$and $7.3\times {10}^{33}\mathrm{years}$for $p\to {\mu }^{+}\eta$at the 90% CL were set. These limits are around 1.5 times longer than our previous study and are the most stringent to date. Published by the American Physical Society2024 

NOvA is a long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment that measures oscillations in charged-current ${\nu }_{\mu }\to {\nu }_{\mu }$(disappearance) and ${\nu }_{\mu }\to {\nu }_e$(appearance) channels, and their antineutrino counterparts, using neutrinos of energies around 2 GeV over a distance of 810 km. In this work we reanalyze the dataset first examined in our previous paper [] using an alternative statistical approach based on Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo. We measure oscillation parameters consistent with the previous results. We also extend our inferences to include the first NOvA measurements of the reactor mixing angle ${\theta }_{13}$, where we find $0.071\le {\sin }^{2}2{\theta }_{13}\le 0.107$, and the Jarlskog invariant, where we observe no significant preference for the $CP$-conserving value $J=0$over values favoring $CP$violation. We use these results to examine the effects of constraints from short-baseline measurements of ${\theta }_{13}$using antineutrinos from nuclear reactors when making NOvA measurements of ${\theta }_{23}$. Our long-baseline measurement of ${\theta }_{13}$is shown to be consistent with the reactor measurements, supporting the general applicability and robustness of the Pontecorvo-Maki-Nakagawa-Sakata framework for neutrino oscillations. Published by the American Physical Society2024 

We present the results of the charge ratio ( $R$) and polarization ( $P_0^{\mu }$) measurements using decay electron events collected between September 2008 and June 2022 with the Super-Kamiokande detector. Because of its underground location and long operation, we are able to perform high-precision measurements by accumulating cosmic-ray muons. We measured the muon charge ratio to be $R=1.32\pm 0.02(\mathrm{stat}+\mathrm{syst})$at $E_{\mu }\cos {\theta }_{\text{Zenith}}={0.7}_{-0.2}^{+0.3}\mathrm{TeV}$, where $E_{\mu }$is the muon energy and ${\theta }_{\text{Zenith}}$is the zenith angle of incoming cosmic-ray muons. This result is consistent with the Honda flux model while indicating a tension with the $\pi K$model of $1.9\sigma$. We also measured the muon polarization at the production location to be $P_0^{\mu }=0.52\pm 0.02(\mathrm{stat}+\mathrm{syst})$at the muon momentum of ${0.9}_{-0.1}^{+0.6}\mathrm{TeV}/c$at the surface of the mountain; this also suggests a tension with the Honda flux model of $1.5\sigma$. This is the most precise measurement ever to experimentally determine the cosmic-ray muon polarization near $1\mathrm{TeV}/c$. These measurement results are useful to improve atmospheric neutrino simulations. Published by the American Physical Society2024 

Abstract Neutrinos from very nearby supernovae, such as Betelgeuse, are expected to generate more than ten million events over 10 s in Super-Kamokande (SK). At such large event rates, the buffers of the SK analog-to-digital conversion board (QBEE) will overflow, causing random loss of data that are critical for understanding the dynamics of the supernova explosion mechanism. In order to solve this problem, two new data-acquisition (DAQ) modules were developed to aid in the observation of very nearby supernovae. The first of these, the SN module, is designed to save only the number of hit photomultiplier tubes during a supernova burst and the second, the Veto module, prescales the high-rate neutrino events to prevent the QBEE from overflowing based on information from the SN module. In the event of a very nearby supernova, these modules allow SK to reconstruct the time evolution of the neutrino event rate from beginning to end using both QBEE and SN module data. This paper presents the development and testing of these modules together with an analysis of supernova-like data generated with a flashing laser diode. We demonstrate that the Veto module successfully prevents DAQ overflows for Betelgeuse-like supernovae as well as the long-term stability of the new modules. During normal running the Veto module is found to issue DAQ vetos a few times per month resulting in a total dead-time less than 1 ms, and does not influence ordinary operations. Additionally, using simulation data we find that supernovae closer than 800 pc will trigger the Veto module, resulting in a prescaling of the observed neutrino data.